Showing posts with label food. Show all posts
Showing posts with label food. Show all posts

Sunday, October 2, 2011

The coming war on obesity and consumption

Obesity in America

Obesity in world


Daily food consumption

This week, Thomas Barnett penned a column for the World Politics Review that predicted the coming clash over food, as the Western style diet comes under fire for obesity and it's byproduct of major health issues becomes the target of both the nanny state, and nations where food is a matter of survival. Barnett called it this way.
The real clash of civilizations in the 21st century will be not over religion, but over food. As the emerging East and surging South achieve appreciable amounts of disposable income, they're increasingly taking on a Western-style diet. This bodes poorly for the world on multiple levels, with the most-alarmist Cassandras warning about imminent resource wars. But the more immediate and realistic concern is the resulting health costs, which will inevitably trigger a rule-set clash between nanny-state types hell-bent on "reining in" a number of globalized industries -- agriculture, food and beverages, restaurants, health care and pharmaceuticals -- and those preferring a more free-market/libertarian stance.
This clash won't necessarily pit East versus West or North versus South, or even democracies versus authoritarian regimes. The core of this struggle will be about sustainability versus individual freedom of choice, because, as a recent Financial Times editorial put it, "Individuals have a right to indulge in excesses, but they also have responsibility for costs."
Read more:
The New Rules: Time to Worry About Over-Eating, not Over-Population

Barnett penned his column, just a few hours before Denmark became the first country in the world to pass what has been dubbed the "Fat Tax" to combat the growing obesity in Denmark, as they confront rising health care costs in a country with state provided cradle to the grave health care costs are predicted to rise faster than the kilos on millions of personal scales.
Denmark on Saturday became the first country in the world to impose a fat tax after a week in which consumers hoarded butter, pizza, meat and milk to avoid the immediate effects.
"We have had to stock up with tonnes of butter and margarine in order to be able to supply outlets," Soeren Joergensen of Arla Distribution told AFP.
The new tax, designed by Denmark’s outgoing government as a health issue to limit the population’s intake of fatty foods, will add 16 kroner ($2.87, 2.15 euros) per kilo (2.2 pounds) of saturated fats in a product.
Read more:
Denmark levies worlds first fat tax

It now appears other nations with state sponsored healthcare programs are considering similar taxes. Can the US be far behind? Personally, in an age where we all end up sharing the cost of programs like Medicare, and in in the future, some form a national health care system, as well as swelling personal health insurance rates, taxes on things that contribute to obesity and in turn health issues might make sense. The common sense solution would be to charge obese people more, but that would be considered discrimenatory so we all get to pay. The bigger question as raised by Thomas Barnett is how to feed a swelling population of 7 billion and growing without being labeled a pariah for consuming geometrically more than the majority of the planet.

Sunday, June 8, 2008

Oil vs Grain What the Future Holds


With crude oil hitting an all time high this week and gasoline prices over $4.00 per gallon in the U.S. and over $9.00 in Europe, with no end in sight, conventional wisdom would forcast a free falling economy for the world.

Thomas Barnett's Sunday column this week offers up a different prospective on what will be the most desired commodity in the near future. This week's column.
His opening words:

In the global oil industry, there is Saudi Arabia and everybody else. But with the planet experiencing the worst food crisis since the tumultuous 1970s, the question begs, Who is the "Saudi Arabia" of agriculture? Well, it turns out that North America is the OPEC of global grain.
When the professional fear mongers try to scare you with America's "oil addiction," remember this: if the world's got us over a barrel on energy, then we've got the world over a bread basket. Moreover, while global climate change will progressively diminish OPEC's importance as we're forced to improve transportation technologies, it'll only strengthen NAFTA's role as the world's preeminent food exporter.

Anyone who has been keeping up with Barnett's blog will recognize that he did not pick this topic out of thin air. Below are links to recent posts that support his argument.

Grain companies will be the vilified oil companies of the future (like they were in the past)
ARTICLE: "Grain Companies' Profits Soar As Global Food Crisis Mounts," by David Kesmodel, Lauren Etter, and Aaron O. Patrick, Wall Street Journal, 30 April 2008, p. A1. ARTICLE: "Farming Critics Fault Industry's Influence," by Elizabeth Williamson, Wall Street Journal,...

Urbanization yields globalization yields rising income yields more food demand yields bigger farms yields more migration to cities yields ...
ARTICLE: "In Ukraine, Mavericks Gamble On Scarce Land," by John W. Miller, Wall Street Journal, 12 May 2008, p. A1. Ukraine, Russia and Kazakhstan have between them an untilled Idaho's worth of good farmland. Trick is unifying small plots,...

Already Beijing is thinking food security
ARTICLE: "Beijing looks at foreign fields in push to guarantee food supplies: China losing its ability to be self-sufficient," by Jamil Anderlini, Financial Times, 9 May 2008, p. A1. China replicates its own-the-barrel-in-the-ground mentality it currently displays on oil,...
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Simple math on food costs
ARTICLE: "Why the World Can't Afford Food: And why higher prices are here to stay," by Jackson Dykman, Time, 19 May 2008, p. 34. Poor harvests and restrictive trade policies + Increasing price of oil + Diversion of crops...
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Cool visuals on world food issues/dynamics
ARTICLE: "The Economics of Hunger: A brutal convergence of events has hit an unprepared global market," by Anthony Faiola, Washington Post National Weekly Edition, 5-11 May 2008, p. 6. ARTICLE: "In Mauritania, Evey Meal Becomes a Sacrifice," by Anthony...
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The next-order network perturbation
INTERVIEW: "David Hightower on the Explosion in Commodities Markets," by Maria Bartiromo, BusinessWeek, 26 May 2008, p. 021. Rising Asia gets you rising energy costs, which contribute to the rise in food costs, which soon enough (as in, next...
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A special note:
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Tom Barnett spends an extraordinary amount of time traveling across the globe, spreading his strategic message. Throughout his travels he has been able to maintain his blog, much to the appreciation of his readers.
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He also makes the time to be what is most important, a devoted husband, father and son.
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And in return gets the best gift a human can receive, Love..
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This post did not start out to focus on Tom Barnett, but in order to support the message in the headline it is important to know the messenger.